2014 Ebola Outbreak: Updates & Results
Worldwide Air-Transportation, Import Risk and Most Probable Spreading Routes
August 4th, 2014
last updated: October 24th, 2014
Below is a summary of results of our computational model for the global import risk of EVD (Ebola Virus Disease). For details about the study, the model and further information see "2014 Ebola Outbreak: Worldwide Air-Transportation, Relative Import Risk and Most Probable Spreading Routes".
The Role of Airports: Ebola Distribution Propensity
The figure depicts the 30 largest airports in terms of connectivity and total passenger traffic. Distribution propensity quantifies the importance of an airport as a gateway for travelers from Ebola affected West African countries to other locations worldwide. Larger distribution propensity implies more intense gateway function. Buttons select West African reference locations (top) and airport passenger flux / connectivity (bottom).
Relative Import Risk Ranked by Country
Relative Import Risk ranked by Airport
Effective distance from outbreak location ranked by country
Effective distance estimates the relative arrival time at a location. For more information on effective distance see Hidden Geometry Page and "2014 Ebola Outbreak: Worldwide Air-Transportation, Relative Import Risk and Most Probable Spreading Routes".