Dirk speaks at re:publica 22 about complexity, anti-disciplinary sciences, aphids that grow wings when infected with a virus, swarms, seeing the forest for the trees, synchronization and networks (the talk is in German)
The preprint is available here: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.04.19.22274030v1.
In this paper we use physiological data collected in the German Data Donation Project (Datenspende) to investigate the differential impact of vaccination on the effect that a COVID-19 infection has on resting heart rate, physical activity and sleep.
Zusammenfassung Wir modellieren mögliche Verläufe einer durch die SARS-CoV-2 “variant of concern” (VOC) B.1.1.529 (“Omikron”) verursachten Infektionswelle in Deutschland unter Berücksichtigung verschiedener Parameterschätzungen, kalibriert am Wachstumsverhalten von Omikronfällen und Fällen der im Dezember noch vorherrschenden VOC **B.
In this paper we use a recently developed approach (the contribution matrix method) in combination with epidemiological data to estimate the contribution of vaccinated and unvaccinated populations to the current COVID-19 effective reproduction number R in Germany.
In this paper we investated how much information on individual mobility patterns is required to reconstruct the origin of an outbreak from spatially distributed cases. It turns out: not so much.
In addition to mobility, we now show the average contacts in the population over time—with equally important insights into the course of the pandemic. The mobility of people gives us an important overview of the pandemic, but it is actually the contacts between people that are instrumental in the infection dynamics: Transmissions occur when people meet.
Finally, “Im Wald vor lauter Bäumen - unsere komplexe Welt besser verstehen” is now out and available. This popular scientific book explains the science of Complexity, how it works, what anti-disciplinary science looks like and what benefits are gained by connecting different phenomena observed in traditionally distant scientific disciplines.
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